Feel the pain

Yesterday I walked around the Tidal Basin in Washington DC and found out that the little buttons they hand out as souvenirs every year at the for the National Cherry Blossom Festival aren’t available this year “due to the sequestration.” Why am I not surprised: much like canceling the White House tours, it’s a symbolic jab in the public eye to make us feel some tangible pain and give the impression that the miniscule sequestration cuts have “End of Days” repercussions. Meanwhile the fire hose spray of spending continues.

Oddly, there’s money to be made with this: even if they can’t afford to give free buttons away, I imagine many of the millions of tourists flying in from all over the world would be willing to pay a buck each for them. I know I would.

I checked online, and there’s any number of online services that make custom buttons to your specification, with logo and message of your choice, for 18 cents each in quantities of 10,000 or more.

Just for fun, let’s do the math on the smallest possible bulk order…

    • Outlay for 10,000 buttons: $1,800
    • Sale price: $1 per button, for a total of $10,000
    • Profit: $8,200, for a 455% Return On Investment

Thinking big, $585,000 would buy me 3.25 million buttons and a cool $2,665,000 profit!

WTF am I thinking about?!!!

There’s VP Biden’s recent hotel bills to cover…

And then there’s that $200 million President Obama promised to Jordan on Friday.

Good grief, we can’t spare a dime! Thank goodness income taxes are due in a few weeks, or we’d never make it…

I mentioned this episode to a friend and he related a similar anecdote from times gone by:

Years ago, we visited DC when the Clintons were moving in. There was another cost-cutting program going on then, too. At the Smithsonian restaurant, they had laid off all but one waitress. The line to get in was hundreds long. One waitress. They were making the public feel the pain.

A little later we were walking around the White House. On one driveway, workmen were taking up the asphalt and hand-cutting stone, in a pattern, all the way up the driveway. This was at the exact moment the one waitress was working. Last time I was in DC, last summer, I walked over to see if the stone driveway was still there. It had been paved over.

Yesserriee, they’se doin’ dere veddy best to contain expenses.

Unlike cherry blossoms, political grandstanding never goes out of season in Washington.

And the cherry blossoms? They’re a little late this year, but they’re coming around…

H/T to Drudge for VP Biden’s photo and the links to stories about VP Biden’s hotel bill.
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Joy

Now and again during our troubled journey through life we reach little oases of almost perfect happiness, set jewel-like here and there in the thorny wilderness of time. Sometimes these are hours of mere animal content. In others they are made beautiful by waters blowing from our spiritual springs of being, as in those rare instances when the material veil of life seems to be rent by a mighty hand, and we feel the presence and the comfort of God within us and about us, guiding our footsteps to the ineffable end, which is Himself. Occasionally, however, all these, physical satisfaction and love divine and human, are blended to a whole, like soul and body, and we can say, “Now I know what is joy.”

– H. Rider Haggard, Marie, 1912

Daffodils

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Burke Lake

Bleak morning at Burke Lake, blue herons watchful waiting for snow to fall.

Herons

A 5-mile walk at Burke Lake, VA, map here.

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The Big Rock

Last Sunday’s walk was a visit to “The Big Rock,” a little-known landmark along Pohick Creek in Springfield, Virginia. Little-known perhaps in a broad sense and a little hard to find, but knowing how kids like to explore, I imagine the rock, marred by graffiti, would be a familiar memory for anyone who grew up in the surrounding neighborhoods.

In our case the rock was just the “sizzle,” so to speak – the “steak” was a 5.5-mile walk through the woods along Fairfax County’s Cross County Trail, with eight stream crossings across stepping stones. The route was not taken from any existing trail guide, and started where the trail intersects with a neighborhood street, followed Pohick Creek north to Hooes Road, and back again. The Google map of the hike route here shows a distance of 2.2 miles each way, but as usual the extra distance due to obstacles, etc., isn’t reflected.


Due to the snow during the week I wasn’t able to check the water crossings and announce the walk until Friday, but despite the late notice, almost 70 avid walkers turned up enjoy the spring-like weather. There’s lots more great photos taken by the hikers here.

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Curiouser and curiouser

Here’s an interesting tidbit about curious happenings in the gold and silver markets, from a recent interview of investment analyst Eric Sprott by Toronto’s The Gold Report:

Eric Sprott: This will sound like a conspiracy theory, but unusual things are happening in the gold and silver markets.

For example, on Feb. 19, nearly an entire year’s supply of gold traded on the Comex in a single day. The same volume of silver trading happened on the commodities exchange. You and I both know that the people selling that much metal cannot deliver it because it is just not available. Yet somehow they are out there, pounding down these contracts and keeping the price suppressed.

I would hypothesize that the central bankers know their policy of printing money is the most irresponsible thing imaginable, and they are suppressing gold and silver prices to hide their irresponsibility. When one is printing that much money, gold and silver prices are the first things you would expect to rise. If we saw gold going to $2,000/oz, the price of oil would probably go to a new high and the price of agricultural commodities would go up. Then you would have a huge inflation problem on your hands.

Based on my research, I believe the Western central banks have been surreptitiously supplying gold to the market. I say this because the demands I see for physical gold are way beyond the supply of gold. The annual gold supply has not changed in 12 years, and demand just keeps increasing from China, India, the U.S. Mint and silver and gold coin sales; even the non-Western central banks are buying gold. Where is this gold coming from? I think the Western central banks are selling gold to keep the lid on the price so everyone thinks their monetary policies are benign. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

The Gold Report: But wasn’t Feb. 15’s volume blamed in part on reports of a few large fund managers selling their gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs)?

Eric Sprott: That may very well have happened. A lot of these paper things trade together, and the gold in the ETFs is paper gold at best. I have serious reservations about whether there is actual physical gold in the gold ETFs.

When I see China buying 95 tons of gold in a month and I know that the world’s monthly production is only 180 tons, that represents half the gold. India bought 100 tons in January, more than 50% of the gold supply. Between China and India, they bought 100% of the available gold. So, where did the gold bought by the rest of the world come from? From the Western central banks, as far as I’m concerned.

– JT Long, “Unusual things are happening in gold and silver – Sprott,” Mineweb, 5 March 2013

Sprott shines a light on the elephant in the room that no one seems to want to acknowledge. As I noted in an earlier post, annual world gold production has hovered around 2,200-2,500 tons per year since 2001, or roughly the 180 tons per month Sprott cites. If two nations alone are buying up the entire world’s production of gold for the month, the gold everyone else is buying is either coming surreptitiously from existing stockpiles or, worse yet, out of thin air – ETF shares representing gold that actually does not exist!

As for the ongoing printing of money, Charles Plosser, president of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank, indicated on Wednesday that the Fed’s ongoing $85 billion-a-month purchase of US Treasuries and mortgage backed securities (quantitative easing; QE3) needs to be reigned in, but he’s not a voting member of the committee in the driver’s seat – those running the show are unwilling to even hint an end to the flow of taxpayer dollars lest the stock market’s current rampage come to a halt. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Janet Yellen had only soothing words to say 2 days earlier, “… the [Federal Open Market Committee]’s intention is to leave that accommodation in place until well into the recovery.”

The hope seems to be that if we spend enough time throwing money at it, the dreamed-for recovery will put the mountain of debt incurred too far in the past to trouble ourselves about. It’s like the nonsense from Lewis Carroll’s Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland:

‘Curiouser and curiouser!’ cried Alice (she was so much surprised, that for the moment she quite forgot how to speak good English); ‘now I’m opening out like the largest telescope that ever was! Good-bye, feet!’ (for when she looked down at her feet, they seemed to be almost out of sight, they were getting so far off). ‘Oh, my poor little feet, I wonder who will put on your shoes and stockings for you now, dears? I’m sure I  shan’t be able! I shall be a great deal too far off to trouble myself about you: you must manage the best way you can;—but I must be kind to them,’ thought Alice, ‘or perhaps they won’t walk the way I want to go! Let me see: I’ll give them a new pair of boots every Christmas.’

And she went on planning to herself how she would manage it. ‘They must go by the carrier,’ she thought; ‘and how funny it’ll seem, sending presents  to one’s own feet! And how odd the directions will look!

ALICE’S RIGHT FOOT, ESQ.
HEARTHRUG,
NEAR THE FENDER,
(WITH ALICE’S LOVE).

Oh dear, what nonsense I’m talking!’

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I’ve seen some things, man, and some stuff…


The stereotype of the disturbed war veteran, originally created by opponents of the Vietnam War and handily resurrected by opponents of the Iraq War, is clearly the image Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) has in mind when she thinks of our veterans.

Feinstein’s proposed “assault weapons” ban contains provisions exempting government employees and retired police from ownership of the banned weapons, but not US military personnel and veterans. When Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) recently proposed an amendment to exempt military personnel and veterans from the ban, she rejected it. Tiffany Madison neatly summed up Feinstein’s response in an article in her “Citizen Warrior” column for the Washington Times. Here’s a salient quote:

In response to his amendment Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), a notorious proponent of gun control, demonstrated a rather callous disregard for the 1.8 million veterans residing in California, and a fundamental misunderstanding of mental health issues.

“The problem with expanding this [exemption] is that, you know, with the advent of PTSD, which I think is a new phenomenon as a product of the Iraq War,* it’s not clear how the seller or transfer of a firearm covered by this bill would verify that an individual was a member or veteran and there was no impairment of that individual with respect to having a weapon like this.”

– Tiffany Madison, “Feinstein exempts police, not “PTSD” vets from gun ban,” Citizen Warrior, Washington Times, 6 March 2012

Callous disregard indeed: In Feinstein’s mind, the burden of proof should be placed on veterans to prove they aren’t mentally impaired, rather than on courts or court-appointed medical authorities to prove that they are. (As it is today, for anyone.) You might as well demand that anyone who applies for their first marriage license must prove that they have never been married. It cannot be done.

Given this attitude, it’s surprising Feinstein hasn’t seen fit to amend her own bill to include even police officers. The recent murderous rampage of Christopher Dorner in Feinstein’s own state suggests that the continuously redefined “assault weapons” must have a certain Lovecraftian quality about them: They are apparently so scary looking that the merest glimpse of one carries the risk of insanity, even for the most trustworthy members of our society.

It comes back to defining what the gun control issue is all about. If you agree that guns have a legitimate legal purpose, whether in the hands of the police, the military, or law-abiding citizens, then the issue is not about controlling the guns, but about controlling the people. And control of the people are what Feinstein and her ilk are all about. Rep. John Dingell (D-MI) made this objective abundantly clear a few years ago in a Freudian slip when commenting about the difficulties encountered in drafting ObamaCare:

“…when you’re going to pass legislation that will cover 300 [million] American people in different ways it takes a long time to do the necessary administrative steps that have to be taken to put the legislation together to control the people.”

– John Dingell, speaking with host Paul Smith on Detroit WJR News/Talk 760 radio, March 22, 2010, via Wikiquote at http://tinyurl.com/b9xq3d9

* Feinstein seems to consider PTSD to be unique to veterans of the Iraq War, which
she opposed. Apparently the ongoing war in Afghanistan, which she supports, is
less stressful for some reason or other.
 
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Potomac Heritage Trail Hike

Sunday’s hike  was a loop along the Potomac Heritage Trail in Arlington, Virginia. It was a little chilly when we started, but there’s nothing like 4.5 miles of stream crossings, climbs, and scrambling over boulders to warm you up! The route took us from our start point in Potomac Overlook Regional Park, down Donaldson Run Trail to the Potomac, about a mile and a half downstream along the Potomac, and then back up Windy Run Trail before returning to our start point uphill along neighborhood streets. (You get a much better appreciation for sidewalks after a few miles of broken trail!)

A Google map of the hike route is here. Google reflects a straight-line distance of 3.8 miles, but with the extra distance needed to negotiate obstacles, a calibrated pedometer showed 4.5 miles.

Hikers took lots of great photos on Sunday, but here are a few I took during a rainy pre-hike on February 26. (If you’re planning a hike for 75+ hikers, a little route reconnaissance is a good idea to preclude unpleasant surprises.)


Spring is on the way! Hard to believe it’s only 3 weeks until the annual Cherry Blossom Festival, and that’s a beautiful walk that shouldn’t be missed!

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Crisis du jour

“When in danger, when in doubt, run in circles, scream and shout”

– Herman Wouk, The Caine Mutiny

A pretty good description of almost everything you hear out of  Washington DC, but we get more than one crisis du jour these days.

The stock market is at all-time highs, but several billionaires like Warren Buffett and George Soros are suddenly dumping millions of shares of stocks. Yesterday Neal Cavuto interviewed Scott McNealy, the Co-Founder of Sun Microsystems, to get his take on what the heck is going on, and the impact of government Federal Reserve and White House quantitative easing policies on the U.S. economy and markets. Five minutes of pretty scary stuff; check it out here.

If open market manipulation doesn’t bother you, there’s the constant drumbeat of doomsday scenarios from administration officials about the impact of looming sequestration, which actually amounts to a lot of finger pointing about a potential reduction of about 72 hours worth of government spending:

YL-Sequester-chartThe president’s scare tactics focus almost exclusively on the domestic-discretionary portion, so he is saying that our economy and government will basically cease to function because we will be spending $29 billion less on these domestic-discretionary programs this year than last year. $29 billion is about what the federal government spends in 72 hours.

– Yuval Levin, “The Sequester in Proportion, NRO Online, 20 Feb 2013

Or if fear of economic disaster isn’t your bag, the news media pushes every possible gun incident it can find to the headlines, alongside a constantly changing smorgasboard of proposed gun seizure schemes and a nation-wide ammunition shortage, prompted by government purchase and storage of vast amounts of ammunition in recent months:

According to one estimate, just since last spring DHS has stockpiled more than 1.6 billion bullets … sufficient firepower to shoot every American about five times. Including illegal immigrants. To provide some perspective, experts estimate that at the peak of the Iraq war American troops were firing around 5.5 million rounds per month. At that rate, DHS is armed now for a 24-year Iraq war.”

– Andrew Malcolm, “Why are the feds loading up on so much ammo?”, Investor’s Business Daily, 8 February 2013

Taken together, you might expect that any day now the market will collapse, the sequestration will cause mass layoffs and shutdowns, gun violence will somehow hit record levels despite gun roundups, but no one will have any ammo because what little money we didn’t lose to market manipulation will have been taxed away so the DHS could buy up all the ammo for the now laid-off police force. Any day now I expect to hear the flying monkeys have finally been sent out:


But income tax isn’t due for another 7 weeks, so we won’t hear about the IRS agents coming after us until then.

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W&OD Railroad Regional Park

Quite a few folks turned out this morning for a sunny 6.5 mile walk along the W&OD Trail in Vienna, Virginia. The freezing temperature, 30 mph wind gusts and occasional snow flurry made the outbound half a little daunting, but also made the walk back just that much faster! The route took us from the center of old Vienna, past the old train station and a retired W&OD caboose, and past a series of parks: Northside, Eudora, the W&OD Railroad Regional Park itself, Clark’s Crossing and finally Difficult Run Park, before we reached the turnaround point near Hunter Mill Road for the walk back.


As so often happens when out walking around Northern Virginia, passing Difficult Run Park yielded a tantalizing suggestion for a future outing — Difficult Run Trail connects to the W&OD Trail here, and follows the Difficult Run River downstream through a series of parks on its way to empty into the Potomac River near Great Falls. Sounds like something to pencil in for later this year!

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Biding Time

Ugh, it’s been over a month since I posted anything about walks. Not that I haven’t been out on the trail now and then; it just isn’t very much fun due to an injury I incurred late last December. Since an initial visit to the doctor to confirm the situation, I’ve been biding time, waiting over seven weeks for an opening on the calendar for corrective surgery, which will finally take place next week. Those surgeons are pretty busy people, so if you aren’t RG3 you have to get in line.

In the meantime I’ve only managed to host two organized events, one to Old Town Alexandria on short notice, and one last weekend from Jones Point to Dyke Marsh along the Mount Vernon Trail. It’s pretty hard to play tour guide if you’re having trouble setting a pace! The rest of the time I’ve been going to one of my local favorites, Kingstowne Lake, for short walks to maintain at least some flexibility. Once I come out of the repair shop, so to speak, I’ll really be in slow motion for a couple of weeks.

Here’s a couple of Kingstown Lake residents: a blue jay in a tolerant mood (they can be aggressively territorial when nesting); and a tufted duck, an accidental to the area that I haven’t seen before. It’s apparent from these shots that my handy little Canon ELPH 300 HS is hopelessly out of its element for birding…

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